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The European Central Bank (ECB) left the monetary policy unchanged as expected (interest rate at 0.00%, 80 billion euro purchases in assets per month), hence the EURUSD retraced slightly below the 1.1200 mark. The first support is provided by the ascending trend-line (base Dec 3rd low– March 1st low – May 29th low), if that is broken, we COULD see a slump to 1.1070 (50% Fibonacci retracement on December to May rise). Below this level, we COULD expect a fall to 1.0940 (61.8% major Fibonacci retrace).
First resistance is seen at 1.1200 (38.2% major Fibonacci retrace), if surpassed, could encourage a further rise towards 1.1226 (100-dma), and 1.1298 (50-dma).

In japan, the data on average cash earnings y/y was far below the expectation, 0.3% versus 0.9% expected and 1.5% previously. This caused the USDJPY to fall below the 109.00 mark, right now negative for the 4th session in a row. The next support is seen at 107.38 (Fibonacci retracement on January to May fall). While a recovery is still possible, surpassing the 109.35 could encourage a recovery to the 110.00 mark before the 111.00 (100-dma).

The GBPUSD bounced on 1.4411 (38.2% major Fibonacci retracement on February to May rise), and is moving slightly to the upside. Resistance is seen at 1.4578 (23.6% Fib retrace), while below the 1.4330 neck-line, the double top pattern COULD cause further downside toward the 1.4000 mark.

In Australia, the traders are in wait-and-see approach ahead of the NFP data in the US. The AUDUSD is trading rangebound within 0.7208 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement on January to April rise) and 0.7280 (200-dma).

Gold consolidates above the critical support at 1205 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement on December to May rise), the ECB decisions didn’t have a significant impact on the price, while today’s NFP COULD provoke volatility. Breaking below the 1205-support, the price could fall to 1175 (50% Fibonacci retracement). On the upside, a cheaper dollar could encourage a fresh upside toward the 1243 (76.4% Fibo retrace).

WTI is trading above the 49.00$ a barrel. The first support is seen at 47.73 (June 1st low), while the first resistance is eyed at 50.11 (May 26th high). Yesterday, the OPEC failed to agree on output target during the Vienna meeting, The oil fell below the 48.00 mark, before appreciating on less then expected contraction in the US inventories (-1.4M against forecast -2.7M).

The information and comments provided herein under no circumstances are to be considered an offer or solicitation to invest and nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. The information provided is believed to be accurate at the date the information is produced. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please note that 71% of our retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing money.

14-12-2020

GBP jumps on Brexit talks extension
The British pound has jumped in early trading this week after the UK Prime Minister and EU Commission President agreed to extend Brexit talks beyond Sunday. MARKETSThe S&P 500 fell on Friday, wrapping up a losing week, as the outlook for additional fiscal… Read more

10-12-2020

AirBnB IPO today
At its IPO price of $6 per share, Airbnb ABNB, is expected to raise at least $3.5 billion with an initial market capitalization topping $40 billion. MARKETSStocks fell on Wednesday, retreating from the record highs set earlier in the day, as tech shares strug… Read more

9-12-2020

S&P 500 closes over 3,700
MARKETSThe S&P 500 closed above 3,700 for the first time ever on Tuesday as Pfizer started to roll out its coronavirus vaccine in the U.K., lifting hope of the economy recovering in the near future. The Dow Jones gained 0.4% while the Nasdaq Composite clim… Read more

8-12-2020

Global stock market cap reaches $100 trillion for 1st time
The value of all the stocks in the world put together has reached a giant $100 trillion for the first time. MARKETSThe Dow fell 0.69% Monday, led by Intel and broad-based weakness in value stocks as rising Covid-19 restrictions offset optimism over an imminen… Read more

4-12-2020

Pfizer vaccine supply chain problems
MARKETS The S&P 500 fell slightly from record high. Major U.S stocks indices cut gains quickly in the final hour of trading after Dow Jones reported Pfizer now expects to ship half of the doses it had previously planned this year after finding raw materia… Read more

2-12-2020

Dollar Purge Continues
The US dollar dropped to fresh two-and-a-half year lows on Tuesday, with EUR/USD rising above the widely-watched 1.20 handle. MARKETSNews• Stocks in Asia-Pacific were mixed in Wednesday morning trade after major indexes on Wall Street surged to record highs o… Read more

1-12-2020

Bitcoin hits record high
The price of Bitcoin climbed 8.7% on Monday to reach a fresh record high of $19,857.03 - overtaking its previous peak made in 2017. MARKETSNews• Asia stocks rise as the Caixin/Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for November came in at 54.9 — its… Read more

30-11-2020

OPEC meeting starts
Today OPEC+ begin a 2-day meeting to decide whether to begin producing an extra 2 million barrels per day of oil, or delay for another 3-6 months. MARKETSNews• Asia-Pacific markets are mixed this morning while S&P 500 futures are down half a per cent. Ind… Read more