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Markets weary as Trump offers olive branch to Congress over shutdown
News that Trump was reaching out to Congress to help end the partial government shutdown, provided some optimism to traders overnight. However, Trump’s olive branch was overshadowed by concerns over the health of the Chinese economy and a potential global economic slowdown, which weighed on sentiment at the start of 2019.

Fears over a slowdown in China, amid trade tensions with the US, have ramped up over the past few months. Data from China is unnerving investors and last night’s release was no different. The Chinese manufacturing pmi showed that activity was at its lowest since May 2017, indicating a contraction as it fell below the level of 50. An increasing amount of data is pointing to the Chinese economy losing steam and with new orders falling for the first time in 2 1/2 years, the outlook doesn’t look great either.

Safe Havens Shine
As traders digested another round of disappointing figures from China, risk off tones dominated. Stock markets across Asia fell, while known havens the yen and gold climbed higher again. The yen is up for the third straight week, whilst the prospects for gold appear to be rising. Gold was up 0.3% in early trade, hitting a peak of US$1285.4 as 2018’s year end rally continues into the new year. Gold is holding onto 6-month highs supported by the prospect of fewer Fed hikes and a softer dollar, concerns over slowing economic global growth and wild swings in the stock market.

UK Manufacturing PMI to Drag On GBP?
The pound put in a solid performance on the last day of trading in 2018, after a dismal year. With Theresa May’s Brexit deal set to be debated in Parliament next week and with the vote scheduled for the third week in January, Brexit cannot help but remain the key driving force for sterling.

UK Manufacturing pmi data could briefly drag trader’s attention away from Brexit headlines and towards the health of Britain’s economy just months before it is due to leave the EU. Manufacturing activity is expected to have ticked lower to 52.5 in January, down from 53.1 in December. The stock piling that we saw in December’s figures, which pulled manufacturing activity off a 27-month low, is expected to continue in January but to a slightly lesser extent. With the route of Brexit still undecided, firms are preparing for a no deal Brexit with emergency stock piles.

The information and comments provided herein under no circumstances are to be considered an offer or solicitation to invest and nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. The information provided is believed to be accurate at the date the information is produced. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please note that 79% of our retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing money.

The information and comments provided herein under no circumstances are to be considered an offer or solicitation to invest and nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. The information provided is believed to be accurate at the date the information is produced. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Please note that 79 % of our retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing money.

1-4-2020

End of one of worst quarters ever
The Dow Jones just posted the worst first quarter ever. That’s how bad things are at the moment, but are they ‘peak bad’? Because that would imply a bottom in the stock market. Data from China today continue to suggest light at the end of the tunnel there, bu… Read more

31-3-2020

Markets stabilise on hopes for vaccine, SNB intervening on franc
Beware the Ides of March. There is a lot of relief out there that March as well as the first quarter is almost over. A fresh month can offer some fresh perspective, and perhaps a more constructive one.   President Donald Trump extending social distancing gui… Read more

18-3-2020

The rebound on stimulus hopes loses momentum. Brent < $30
A bigger picture is starting to emerge of how governments are responding to the pandemic and that in itself offers some needed certainty. Authorities are trying to balance economically damaging travel restrictions and social distancing rules with cheap loans f… Read more

17-3-2020

Stocks Rebound after rout, Airline bailouts? Gold holds $1450
Governments are stepping up their response to the coronavirus outbreak which is allowing markets a chance to recuperate on Tuesday.   Following the worst day since Black Monday on Wall Street, US futures went ‘limit up’ – meaning prices could not rise of ove… Read more

16-3-2020

Central Bank Bazooka Misses Target, Stocks in Freefall
Central banks led by the US shot off a bazooka of lower interest rates and quantitative easing but it has missed target. Markets are back into freefall.     Friday’s gains have evaporated and shares are headed deeper into bear market territory. Bank shares a… Read more

12-3-2020

Dow falls into bear market, FTSE to tank, little hope for ECB
Dow drops into bear market, S&P to follow after Trump speech Trump managed to spook an already spooked market. European share markets are set for sharp opening losses. The FTSE is on course to tank 300 points to take it down 30% off its May 2018 peak. The… Read more

10-3-2020

US tax cuts lightening the mood in market hangover
There will be investors waking up today and wondering if it was all a bad dream. But it was all too real. Oil did fall by the most since the Gulf War and global stock markets did have their worst day since the 08 crisis. Today will be a like a hangover. All yo… Read more

5-3-2020

OPEC meeting, Flybe administration & fortune favours a brave BOE
Shares in Europe look set for higher open following the wake of a ‘Biden bounce’ on Wall Street. The Dow saw another +1000-points day led by healthcare companies on the hope the US can avoid a national healthcare service under a President Sanders. Actually, we… Read more